This week, two events dominate the trading floors. The first: corporate earnings. The second: US inflation figures. Nothing spectacular on paper, but these two releases set the tempo and can move the indices. According to CNBC, these are precisely the two major topics that investors are watching closely.
Earnings are the companies' report card
Every quarter, major companies publish their accounts. Imagine a report card: revenue (all the money taken in), profits (what's left once costs are paid) and guidance for what comes next. When the grades are good, indices like the US30 (the 30 largest American companies) or the Nasdaq (heavily tech-oriented) can rise. When they disappoint, they can fall back.
It's mechanical: a stock's price reflects what investors expect from future earnings. A bit like a team jersey: its value climbs when people think the team will win, and drops when results disappoint. Hence the importance of the tone used by executives, as much as the figures themselves.
Inflation is the economy's thermometer
The second event is the release of US inflation. Inflation is the speed at which prices rise. A shopping cart that cost €100 and costs €103 a year later is 3% inflation: out of €100, that's €3 more. This figure matters because it influences the central bank (the Fed), which sets the key interest rates — in other words, the price of money.
The mechanism is simple. Higher rates make credit more expensive, like a tap being turned off: money circulates more slowly. Businesses invest less, consumers spend less. A frequent result: the dollar strengthens, and gold — which yields no interest — becomes relatively less attractive. Conversely, slowing inflation fuels the idea of looser rates, which often supports gold and the indices.
Be careful, though: the market doesn't always react to "the figure" itself, but to the gap between the published figure and what analysts expected. Inflation slightly above expectations can be enough to make markets tense, even if it remains moderate in absolute terms.
What to watch
- Volatility: the magnitude of moves. On release days, it often spikes, in both directions.
- The dollar: its strength weighs on gold, like a magnet pulling the other way.
- Gold: a safe haven when uncertainty rises, it reacts quickly to inflation figures.
- The US30 and Nasdaq indices: they digest earnings and macro data at the same time.
- The calendar: the exact time of each release matters as much as its content; the first minutes are often the most turbulent.
Nothing is decided in advance. The market can react one way, then reverse an hour later. Your job: observe the facts, not guess them. To learn how to read these events without getting carried away by emotion, the JARVIS METHOD serves as an analytical framework, and the full training course offers a structured, step-by-step path. The member area's trading journal also helps keep a written record of your decisions, with screenshots and a mini psychological test, to make progress over the long term.
To go further, the blog and the "JARVIS Readings" revisit economic news every day, and the comparative broker directory gathers practical information (fees, withdrawal times) that's useful before getting started. The Telegram assistant, with its morning market brief and its plan of the day, helps you keep track without staying glued to screens.
Educational content, trading involves a risk of capital loss, neither investment advice nor tax advice.